**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 17?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 13%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
51%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 13%
90-91°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
87°F or below
$103 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$30 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$96 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$267 Vol.
34%
94-95°F
$276 Vol.
51%
96-97°F
$199 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$67 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$62 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$104 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$286 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,657End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,657End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on July 17 project a high near 94°F under mostly sunny conditions, with heat index values reaching 105°F amid ongoing humid summer patterns.** This aligns with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome (48.5% implied probability), as typical July normals hover around 91°F but recent days have consistently delivered 92-94°F readings under high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. Afternoon sea breezes or scattered thunderstorms (30-40% chance in extended outlooks) could moderate peaks slightly toward the 92-93°F bin (33.5%), while the low odds on 96°F+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger subsidence or drier air. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through July 16 continue to anchor trader consensus in this narrow mid-90s window ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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