Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 17?
34°C 32%
35°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
23%
34°C
32%
35°C
28%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
8%
34°C 32%
35°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
27°C or below
$105 Vol.
1%
28°C
$114 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$26 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$23 Vol.
23%
34°C
$1 Vol.
32%
35°C
$1 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$35 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$117End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models for Panama City point to an afternoon peak near 34°C on July 17, with modest upside risk to 35°C under typical July ITCZ conditions featuring scattered convection and high humidity. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because historical July maxima average near 30–31°C while short-term forecasts allow brief clear spells that can push readings 3–4°C higher before afternoon thunderstorms develop. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of cloud cover and sea-breeze onset, which can suppress or permit the final 1°C increment; latest model runs show only minor spread on these details, keeping 34°C and 35°C probabilities nearly even ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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