Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies over northern Italy are driving strong daytime solar heating in Milan, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon temperatures to climb toward 33–34°C according to official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where September maxima often reach the low 30s under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C likely reflect trader caution around exact peak timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer warming, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above capture residual uncertainty from any late-day cloud increase or measurement station specifics. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected today to alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 6?
31°C 56%
32°C 39%
30°C 4.3%
33°C 3%
$17,960 Vol.
$17,960 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C
39%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
32°C 39%
30°C 4.3%
33°C 3%
$17,960 Vol.
$17,960 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,863 Vol.
4%
31°C
$3,660 Vol.
56%
32°C
$4,875 Vol.
39%
33°C
$1,984 Vol.
3%
34°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,317 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$543 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies over northern Italy are driving strong daytime solar heating in Milan, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon temperatures to climb toward 33–34°C according to official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where September maxima often reach the low 30s under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C likely reflect trader caution around exact peak timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer warming, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above capture residual uncertainty from any late-day cloud increase or measurement station specifics. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected today to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,960End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies over northern Italy are driving strong daytime solar heating in Milan, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon temperatures to climb toward 33–34°C according to official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where September maxima often reach the low 30s under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C likely reflect trader caution around exact peak timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer warming, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above capture residual uncertainty from any late-day cloud increase or measurement station specifics. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected today to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,960End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies over northern Italy are driving strong daytime solar heating in Milan, with light easterly winds limiting mixing and allowing afternoon temperatures to climb toward 33–34°C according to official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where September maxima often reach the low 30s under similar anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C likely reflect trader caution around exact peak timing and minor model spread in boundary-layer warming, while lower probabilities for 33°C or above capture residual uncertainty from any late-day cloud increase or measurement station specifics. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected today to alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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