Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 indicate a maximum of 27–31°C under weak southerly winds and a broad cloud band, with several showers expected that could suppress afternoon heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow range, where the difference hinges on the timing and coverage of convective clouds and rainfall. High humidity near 70–95% and light winds limit evaporative cooling but also promote scattered thunderstorms typical of early September climatology. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak insolation if showers arrive earlier or later than anticipated, keeping probabilities closely matched while underscoring forecast uncertainty in a humid, marginally unstable environment. Updated HKO guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
30°C 38%
31°C 31%
29°C 14%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
38%
31°C
31%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
31°C 31%
29°C 14%
32°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$6 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$20 Vol.
2%
28°C
$123 Vol.
2%
29°C
$19 Vol.
14%
30°C
$13 Vol.
38%
31°C
$36 Vol.
31%
32°C
$242 Vol.
14%
33°C
$31 Vol.
6%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 indicate a maximum of 27–31°C under weak southerly winds and a broad cloud band, with several showers expected that could suppress afternoon heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow range, where the difference hinges on the timing and coverage of convective clouds and rainfall. High humidity near 70–95% and light winds limit evaporative cooling but also promote scattered thunderstorms typical of early September climatology. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak insolation if showers arrive earlier or later than anticipated, keeping probabilities closely matched while underscoring forecast uncertainty in a humid, marginally unstable environment. Updated HKO guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$530End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 indicate a maximum of 27–31°C under weak southerly winds and a broad cloud band, with several showers expected that could suppress afternoon heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow range, where the difference hinges on the timing and coverage of convective clouds and rainfall. High humidity near 70–95% and light winds limit evaporative cooling but also promote scattered thunderstorms typical of early September climatology. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak insolation if showers arrive earlier or later than anticipated, keeping probabilities closely matched while underscoring forecast uncertainty in a humid, marginally unstable environment. Updated HKO guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$530End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 6 indicate a maximum of 27–31°C under weak southerly winds and a broad cloud band, with several showers expected that could suppress afternoon heating. Trader emphasis on 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow range, where the difference hinges on the timing and coverage of convective clouds and rainfall. High humidity near 70–95% and light winds limit evaporative cooling but also promote scattered thunderstorms typical of early September climatology. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on peak insolation if showers arrive earlier or later than anticipated, keeping probabilities closely matched while underscoring forecast uncertainty in a humid, marginally unstable environment. Updated HKO guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions