Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
36%
27°C
51%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$368 Vol.
8%
26°C
$388 Vol.
36%
27°C
$821 Vol.
51%
28°C
$278 Vol.
9%
29°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,977End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,977End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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