**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits surface heating.** Coastal sea breezes from the Korea Strait moderate daytime peaks, while light winds and low precipitation probability (under 10-20% in most runs) allow modest warming without strong instability. Ensemble spreads show outcomes clustered between 27–29°C, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing across GFS, ECMWF, and local KMA guidance. Historical September averages for Busan hover around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 6?
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$215 Vol.
2%
26°C
$195 Vol.
3%
27°C
$704 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,862 Vol.
29%
29°C
$929 Vol.
37%
30°C
$565 Vol.
21%
31°C
$478 Vol.
6%
32°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits surface heating.** Coastal sea breezes from the Korea Strait moderate daytime peaks, while light winds and low precipitation probability (under 10-20% in most runs) allow modest warming without strong instability. Ensemble spreads show outcomes clustered between 27–29°C, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing across GFS, ECMWF, and local KMA guidance. Historical September averages for Busan hover around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,389End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits surface heating.** Coastal sea breezes from the Korea Strait moderate daytime peaks, while light winds and low precipitation probability (under 10-20% in most runs) allow modest warming without strong instability. Ensemble spreads show outcomes clustered between 27–29°C, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing across GFS, ECMWF, and local KMA guidance. Historical September averages for Busan hover around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,389End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a daily maximum near 28°C in Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits surface heating.** Coastal sea breezes from the Korea Strait moderate daytime peaks, while light winds and low precipitation probability (under 10-20% in most runs) allow modest warming without strong instability. Ensemble spreads show outcomes clustered between 27–29°C, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing across GFS, ECMWF, and local KMA guidance. Historical September averages for Busan hover around 26–28°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings expected later today will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions