Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely peak near 18–19 °C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating under a passing frontal system. These conditions align with climatological June averages while introducing modest uncertainty from potential variations in timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of leading outcomes against model spread and the short remaining forecast horizon, where small shifts in steering patterns or moisture could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official observations from Roshydromet will determine exact resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 28%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 11.7%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 28%
19°C 25%
17°C 22%
20°C 11.7%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely peak near 18–19 °C, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover limiting daytime heating under a passing frontal system. These conditions align with climatological June averages while introducing modest uncertainty from potential variations in timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of leading outcomes against model spread and the short remaining forecast horizon, where small shifts in steering patterns or moisture could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official observations from Roshydromet will determine exact resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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