Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 6?
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5.5%
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
38%
33°C
36%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5.5%
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
Jul 6, 2026
27°C or below
$2,395 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$442 Vol.
1%
30°C
$827 Vol.
3%
31°C
$565 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,862 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,439 Vol.
36%
34°C
$1,911 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,131 Vol.
3%
36°C
$602 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$582 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$14,568End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,568End Date
Jul 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions