Recent cold fronts and a strengthening polar air mass have cooled São Paulo ahead of winter’s official start on June 21, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official forecasts for June 15 show an overcast sky with showers and a projected high of roughly 18°C (65°F), consistent with the market’s leading 18°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, while historical June data indicate typical highs of 21–22°C can drop 2–4°C when fronts pass. The narrow clustering around 17–19°C reflects low forecast uncertainty for this short-range period, with any break in cloud cover or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could shift the realized maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de junho?
18°C 44%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 5.9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
21%
18°C
44%
19°C
25%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 5.9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 jun 2026
13°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$14 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$148 Vol.
4%
17°C
$335 Vol.
21%
18°C
$258 Vol.
44%
19°C
$464 Vol.
25%
20°C
$114 Vol.
6%
21°C
$530 Vol.
2%
22°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and a strengthening polar air mass have cooled São Paulo ahead of winter’s official start on June 21, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official forecasts for June 15 show an overcast sky with showers and a projected high of roughly 18°C (65°F), consistent with the market’s leading 18°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, while historical June data indicate typical highs of 21–22°C can drop 2–4°C when fronts pass. The narrow clustering around 17–19°C reflects low forecast uncertainty for this short-range period, with any break in cloud cover or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could shift the realized maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,109Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and a strengthening polar air mass have cooled São Paulo ahead of winter’s official start on June 21, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official forecasts for June 15 show an overcast sky with showers and a projected high of roughly 18°C (65°F), consistent with the market’s leading 18°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, while historical June data indicate typical highs of 21–22°C can drop 2–4°C when fronts pass. The narrow clustering around 17–19°C reflects low forecast uncertainty for this short-range period, with any break in cloud cover or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could shift the realized maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,109Data de Término
15 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts and a strengthening polar air mass have cooled São Paulo ahead of winter’s official start on June 21, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official forecasts for June 15 show an overcast sky with showers and a projected high of roughly 18°C (65°F), consistent with the market’s leading 18°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited daytime warming under persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, while historical June data indicate typical highs of 21–22°C can drop 2–4°C when fronts pass. The narrow clustering around 17–19°C reflects low forecast uncertainty for this short-range period, with any break in cloud cover or delayed frontal passage the main variables that could shift the realized maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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