Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 most likely between 29°C and 31°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 28–30°C, though recent runs show slightly elevated values without significant heat advection or cooling influences. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low precipitation risk, while broader uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations and final observational adjustments near resolution. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
30°C 55%
31°C 42%
32°C 2%
29°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
55%
31°C
42%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
31°C 42%
32°C 2%
29°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
27°C or below
$757 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$528 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,860 Vol.
55%
31°C
$3,225 Vol.
42%
32°C
$247 Vol.
2%
33°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 most likely between 29°C and 31°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 28–30°C, though recent runs show slightly elevated values without significant heat advection or cooling influences. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low precipitation risk, while broader uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations and final observational adjustments near resolution. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,653End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 most likely between 29°C and 31°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 28–30°C, though recent runs show slightly elevated values without significant heat advection or cooling influences. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low precipitation risk, while broader uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations and final observational adjustments near resolution. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,653End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22 most likely between 29°C and 31°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-September Mediterranean climatology, where typical daily maxima hover near 28–30°C, though recent runs show slightly elevated values without significant heat advection or cooling influences. Trader consensus on 30°C and 31°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and low precipitation risk, while broader uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations and final observational adjustments near resolution. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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