Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models has locked in a maximum temperature of 24°C for Toronto on June 14, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 97% implied probability. Stable high pressure and limited moisture support modest warming consistent with early-summer climatology, with observed trends showing little day-to-day volatility in the current regime. A stronger-than-expected lake breeze off Lake Ontario or increased cloud cover could cap readings one degree lower, while any model underestimation of insolation or delayed frontal passage remains the primary low-probability pathway to 25°C or above.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto em 14 de junho?
24°C 96.9%
25°C 2.2%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$56,439 Vol.
$56,439 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
97%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 96.9%
25°C 2.2%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$56,439 Vol.
$56,439 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
97%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models has locked in a maximum temperature of 24°C for Toronto on June 14, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 97% implied probability. Stable high pressure and limited moisture support modest warming consistent with early-summer climatology, with observed trends showing little day-to-day volatility in the current regime. A stronger-than-expected lake breeze off Lake Ontario or increased cloud cover could cap readings one degree lower, while any model underestimation of insolation or delayed frontal passage remains the primary low-probability pathway to 25°C or above.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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