Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum 2-meter temperature will likely peak near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. Trader consensus around 19–21°C reflects tight model spread on this short-range horizon, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of convective initiation, or northerly flow strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology near 22°C provides context, but the current synoptic pattern favors modest cooling relative to average. Updated model runs overnight and morning of the 13th will refine the exact outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 38%
19°C 32%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
38%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
5%
20°C 38%
19°C 32%
21°C 19%
18°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C
32%
20°C
38%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Warsaw's June 13 maximum 2-meter temperature will likely peak near 20°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible. Trader consensus around 19–21°C reflects tight model spread on this short-range horizon, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of convective initiation, or northerly flow strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology near 22°C provides context, but the current synoptic pattern favors modest cooling relative to average. Updated model runs overnight and morning of the 13th will refine the exact outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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