Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a peak temperature of 21°C in Warsaw on October 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and light southeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and mixing. This aligns closely with the early-October climatological average near 20.9°C, with models showing minimal precipitation risk and daytime maxima ranging 19–22°C depending on exact timing of peak heating. The strong market weighting toward 21°C and 22°C reflects trader assessment of these conditions and limited downside risk from cooler advection, though small revisions in afternoon model runs could still shift the observed maximum within the narrow 20–22°C band.