Persistent internal pressure within South Korea’s People Power Party has shaped trader assessments of Jang Dong-hyeok’s tenure, with the implied probability of his departure as party leader by June 30, 2026, holding at 63.5 percent. Criticism intensified after his April Washington visit and amid disputes over candidate nominations for the June 3 local elections, prompting public resignation demands from figures including Busan mayoral hopeful Joo Gwang-deok. Jang has rejected early exit calls, stating he will accept voter judgment after the contests, yet analysts note that low party approval ratings and factional rifts make a post-election no-confidence vote or leadership challenge probable before the end of June. These near-term electoral and party dynamics continue to influence consensus on the timeline for any transition.