President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 following a single five-year constitutional term, faces declining approval ratings near 37 percent amid fallout from June 2026 local elections, real estate policy disputes, and recent cabinet nomination setbacks. His ruling Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority that has blocked earlier impeachment petitions from advancing. In a September 18 press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out pursuing constitutional changes for reelection, acknowledged administrative shortcomings, and reaffirmed policy continuity. These factors, combined with structural barriers to removal and the absence of viable legislative or judicial mechanisms for ouster before year-end, underpin trader consensus that he will remain in office through 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
8% chance
$284,568 Vol.
$284,568 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% chance
$284,568 Vol.
$284,568 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 following a single five-year constitutional term, faces declining approval ratings near 37 percent amid fallout from June 2026 local elections, real estate policy disputes, and recent cabinet nomination setbacks. His ruling Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority that has blocked earlier impeachment petitions from advancing. In a September 18 press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out pursuing constitutional changes for reelection, acknowledged administrative shortcomings, and reaffirmed policy continuity. These factors, combined with structural barriers to removal and the absence of viable legislative or judicial mechanisms for ouster before year-end, underpin trader consensus that he will remain in office through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$284,568End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 following a single five-year constitutional term, faces declining approval ratings near 37 percent amid fallout from June 2026 local elections, real estate policy disputes, and recent cabinet nomination setbacks. His ruling Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority that has blocked earlier impeachment petitions from advancing. In a September 18 press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out pursuing constitutional changes for reelection, acknowledged administrative shortcomings, and reaffirmed policy continuity. These factors, combined with structural barriers to removal and the absence of viable legislative or judicial mechanisms for ouster before year-end, underpin trader consensus that he will remain in office through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$284,568End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 following a single five-year constitutional term, faces declining approval ratings near 37 percent amid fallout from June 2026 local elections, real estate policy disputes, and recent cabinet nomination setbacks. His ruling Democratic Party holds a National Assembly majority that has blocked earlier impeachment petitions from advancing. In a September 18 press conference, Lee explicitly ruled out pursuing constitutional changes for reelection, acknowledged administrative shortcomings, and reaffirmed policy continuity. These factors, combined with structural barriers to removal and the absence of viable legislative or judicial mechanisms for ouster before year-end, underpin trader consensus that he will remain in office through 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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