**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, making any impeachment vote structurally improbable before the end of 2026.** Impeachment requires a two-thirds Assembly majority followed by Constitutional Court confirmation; with the ruling party controlling the legislature, opposition parties lack the votes to advance proceedings. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and was not referred to a plenary vote. Lee’s approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the mid-to-low 40s amid local election controversies, ballot shortages, and real estate policy debates, yet these shifts have not produced cross-party consensus or legislative momentum against him. His term runs through 2030 with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers in the interim, reinforcing trader consensus that removal via impeachment remains unlikely absent a major unforeseen crisis.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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