Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody after a February 2026 Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment for leading an insurrection linked to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, with detention extended by court warrant in January and an appeals court adding seven years in late April for resisting arrest. Prosecutors seek further lengthy terms in related cases, solidifying trader consensus at 82% against release by December 31, 2026, amid appeals processes that historically extend timelines without overturning severe convictions for ex-leaders. No recent bail grants or reversals have emerged, reflecting institutional pressures and judicial momentum post his 2025 Constitutional Court removal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody after a February 2026 Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment for leading an insurrection linked to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, with detention extended by court warrant in January and an appeals court adding seven years in late April for resisting arrest. Prosecutors seek further lengthy terms in related cases, solidifying trader consensus at 82% against release by December 31, 2026, amid appeals processes that historically extend timelines without overturning severe convictions for ex-leaders. No recent bail grants or reversals have emerged, reflecting institutional pressures and judicial momentum post his 2025 Constitutional Court removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$11,298End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody after a February 2026 Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment for leading an insurrection linked to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, with detention extended by court warrant in January and an appeals court adding seven years in late April for resisting arrest. Prosecutors seek further lengthy terms in related cases, solidifying trader consensus at 82% against release by December 31, 2026, amid appeals processes that historically extend timelines without overturning severe convictions for ex-leaders. No recent bail grants or reversals have emerged, reflecting institutional pressures and judicial momentum post his 2025 Constitutional Court removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,298End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody after a February 2026 Seoul court sentenced him to life imprisonment for leading an insurrection linked to his short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, with detention extended by court warrant in January and an appeals court adding seven years in late April for resisting arrest. Prosecutors seek further lengthy terms in related cases, solidifying trader consensus at 82% against release by December 31, 2026, amid appeals processes that historically extend timelines without overturning severe convictions for ex-leaders. No recent bail grants or reversals have emerged, reflecting institutional pressures and judicial momentum post his 2025 Constitutional Court removal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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