Recent May 2026 Bank of Korea decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight meeting, combined with upward revisions to 2026 inflation (now 2.7%) and GDP growth (now 2.6%) forecasts, underpins trader positioning around the August 27 outcome. April CPI at 2.6%—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions—has introduced hawkish signals, including board dissent and a dot plot implying potential tightening to 2.75%, bolstering 25 basis point hike odds near 40%. Yet resilient semiconductor exports and a still-cautious new Governor Shin Hyun-song stance, alongside lingering growth and financial stability risks, keep no-change probabilities at 51% while supporting comparable odds for a 25 basis point cut. Incoming June–July inflation, export, and labor data will shape the final market-implied path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25 bps cut 43%
25 bps hike 42%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
43%
No Change
47%
25 bps hike
42%
50+ bps hike
17%
25 bps cut 43%
25 bps hike 42%
50+ bps hike 17%
50+ bps cut 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
50+ bps cut
$1,164 交易量
4%
25 bps cut
$17 交易量
43%
No Change
$94 交易量
47%
25 bps hike
$17 交易量
42%
50+ bps hike
$16 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent May 2026 Bank of Korea decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight meeting, combined with upward revisions to 2026 inflation (now 2.7%) and GDP growth (now 2.6%) forecasts, underpins trader positioning around the August 27 outcome. April CPI at 2.6%—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions—has introduced hawkish signals, including board dissent and a dot plot implying potential tightening to 2.75%, bolstering 25 basis point hike odds near 40%. Yet resilient semiconductor exports and a still-cautious new Governor Shin Hyun-song stance, alongside lingering growth and financial stability risks, keep no-change probabilities at 51% while supporting comparable odds for a 25 basis point cut. Incoming June–July inflation, export, and labor data will shape the final market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,309结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent May 2026 Bank of Korea decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight meeting, combined with upward revisions to 2026 inflation (now 2.7%) and GDP growth (now 2.6%) forecasts, underpins trader positioning around the August 27 outcome. April CPI at 2.6%—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions—has introduced hawkish signals, including board dissent and a dot plot implying potential tightening to 2.75%, bolstering 25 basis point hike odds near 40%. Yet resilient semiconductor exports and a still-cautious new Governor Shin Hyun-song stance, alongside lingering growth and financial stability risks, keep no-change probabilities at 51% while supporting comparable odds for a 25 basis point cut. Incoming June–July inflation, export, and labor data will shape the final market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
交易量
$1,309结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 Bank of Korea decision to hold the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight meeting, combined with upward revisions to 2026 inflation (now 2.7%) and GDP growth (now 2.6%) forecasts, underpins trader positioning around the August 27 outcome. April CPI at 2.6%—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions—has introduced hawkish signals, including board dissent and a dot plot implying potential tightening to 2.75%, bolstering 25 basis point hike odds near 40%. Yet resilient semiconductor exports and a still-cautious new Governor Shin Hyun-song stance, alongside lingering growth and financial stability risks, keep no-change probabilities at 51% while supporting comparable odds for a 25 basis point cut. Incoming June–July inflation, export, and labor data will shape the final market-implied path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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