The market on Khamenei account posts from August 14–21, 2026, shows strong trader consensus around low volume, with <5 posts at 56.5% and the next bracket (5–9) at 22.5%. This pricing reflects the official @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity, often limited to occasional archival quotes or statements rather than daily original content, even amid succession developments and regional tensions. Recent posts from the account have largely reused historical material on topics such as Arbaeen or past conflicts, while the newer @MKhamenei_ir handle has shown bursts tied to specific announcements like appointments but not sustained high frequency. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations within the resolution window appear positioned to drive elevated output, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will remain modest absent a major catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 56%
5-9 23%
10-14 14%
15-19 5.4%
<5
56%
5-9
23%
10-14
14%
15-19
5%
20-24
5%
25-29
5%
30-34
5%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 56%
5-9 23%
10-14 14%
15-19 5.4%
<5
56%
5-9
23%
10-14
14%
15-19
5%
20-24
5%
25-29
5%
30-34
5%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market on Khamenei account posts from August 14–21, 2026, shows strong trader consensus around low volume, with <5 posts at 56.5% and the next bracket (5–9) at 22.5%. This pricing reflects the official @khamenei_ir account’s established pattern of infrequent activity, often limited to occasional archival quotes or statements rather than daily original content, even amid succession developments and regional tensions. Recent posts from the account have largely reused historical material on topics such as Arbaeen or past conflicts, while the newer @MKhamenei_ir handle has shown bursts tied to specific announcements like appointments but not sustained high frequency. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations within the resolution window appear positioned to drive elevated output, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will remain modest absent a major catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions