**Current meteorological forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will remain well above 22°C, with consensus projections centering near 26–27°C.** This positioning reflects persistent warm, humid summer conditions driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with observations from the past week showing minimums mostly in the mid-20s°C. August climatology for Jinan typically features average lows near 22°C, yet 2026 data show a positive departure of roughly +2–4°C amid ongoing heat. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher aggregates real-capital assessments of forecast stability, where ensemble runs exhibit low spread on minimum temperatures. Realistic challenges remain narrow: an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically dip readings, though model agreement and current atmospheric patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$154 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$319 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will remain well above 22°C, with consensus projections centering near 26–27°C.** This positioning reflects persistent warm, humid summer conditions driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with observations from the past week showing minimums mostly in the mid-20s°C.
August climatology for Jinan typically features average lows near 22°C, yet 2026 data show a positive departure of roughly +2–4°C amid ongoing heat. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher aggregates real-capital assessments of forecast stability, where ensemble runs exhibit low spread on minimum temperatures.
Realistic challenges remain narrow: an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically dip readings, though model agreement and current atmospheric patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will remain well above 22°C, with consensus projections centering near 26–27°C.** This positioning reflects persistent warm, humid summer conditions driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with observations from the past week showing minimums mostly in the mid-20s°C.
August climatology for Jinan typically features average lows near 22°C, yet 2026 data show a positive departure of roughly +2–4°C amid ongoing heat. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher aggregates real-capital assessments of forecast stability, where ensemble runs exhibit low spread on minimum temperatures.
Realistic challenges remain narrow: an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically dip readings, though model agreement and current atmospheric patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will remain well above 22°C, with consensus projections centering near 26–27°C.** This positioning reflects persistent warm, humid summer conditions driven by southerly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, consistent with observations from the past week showing minimums mostly in the mid-20s°C. August climatology for Jinan typically features average lows near 22°C, yet 2026 data show a positive departure of roughly +2–4°C amid ongoing heat. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 22°C or higher aggregates real-capital assessments of forecast stability, where ensemble runs exhibit low spread on minimum temperatures. Realistic challenges remain narrow: an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement anomaly at official stations could theoretically dip readings, though model agreement and current atmospheric patterns make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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