Recent forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Karachi of 27–28°C on September 26, driven by persistent southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea that moderate overnight cooling while high humidity (70–85%) and partly cloudy skies limit radiative heat loss. Westerly winds around 6–9 m/s further support this range, consistent with late-September climatology where coastal lows rarely dip below 26°C without stronger northerly intrusions. Recent moderation from an earlier heat spell, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution, underpins trader consensus around these values, though model spread on exact cloud cover and wind timing introduces modest uncertainty for adjacent outcomes.