Recent forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and international sources indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 24–27°C on September 10 amid lingering monsoon activity, with thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate temperatures through increased cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical September climatology, where average minimums hover near 25–27°C, though localized heavy rainfall could further suppress values while clearer breaks might allow slightly more cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 21–28°C range underscoring model variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
21°C or below 85%
26°C 40%
29°C 36%
23°C 32%
21°C or below
85%
22°C
13%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
4%
21°C or below 85%
26°C 40%
29°C 36%
23°C 32%
21°C or below
85%
22°C
13%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and international sources indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 24–27°C on September 10 amid lingering monsoon activity, with thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate temperatures through increased cloud cover and reduced radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical September climatology, where average minimums hover near 25–27°C, though localized heavy rainfall could further suppress values while clearer breaks might allow slightly more cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 21–28°C range underscoring model variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of the next IMD update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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