Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 98%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
98%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
98%
22°C or below 98%
32°C or higher 98%
26°C 44%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$10 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$42 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
36%
30°C
$0 Vol.
36%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$52End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C on September 11 amid a weakening southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, easterly winds around 8–15 km/h, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms that could limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and residual moisture from the Bay of Bengal maintain elevated overnight lows compared to drier post-monsoon conditions, while any clearer breaks or stronger subsidence could allow greater cooling toward the low-20s°C. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, creating balanced trader probabilities between unusually cool (22°C or below) and persistently warm (32°C or higher) outcomes versus the more typical mid-20s range. Updated IMD guidance and next model cycles will clarify whether the trough lingers or retreats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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