**Active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main driver positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 11 maximum.** Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show high humidity, easterly winds, and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms during peak heating hours, which limits insolation and caps daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with observed maxima of 32–34°C on preceding days amid similar convective patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% probability for 32°C and 26% for 33°C incorporates this short-term model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and localized rainfall intensity. Updated IMD briefings and observational data through the evening of September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
32°C 44%
33°C 27%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
44%
33°C
27%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 44%
33°C 27%
31°C 22%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$275 Vol.
1%
27°C
$158 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$21 Vol.
2%
30°C
$65 Vol.
5%
31°C
$225 Vol.
22%
32°C
$284 Vol.
44%
33°C
$48 Vol.
27%
34°C
$15 Vol.
5%
35°C
$100 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main driver positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 11 maximum.** Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show high humidity, easterly winds, and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms during peak heating hours, which limits insolation and caps daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with observed maxima of 32–34°C on preceding days amid similar convective patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% probability for 32°C and 26% for 33°C incorporates this short-term model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and localized rainfall intensity. Updated IMD briefings and observational data through the evening of September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,333End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main driver positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 11 maximum.** Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show high humidity, easterly winds, and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms during peak heating hours, which limits insolation and caps daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with observed maxima of 32–34°C on preceding days amid similar convective patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% probability for 32°C and 26% for 33°C incorporates this short-term model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and localized rainfall intensity. Updated IMD briefings and observational data through the evening of September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,333End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main driver positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Lucknow’s September 11 maximum.** Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, show high humidity, easterly winds, and a 70–90% chance of rain or thunderstorms during peak heating hours, which limits insolation and caps daytime highs near 31–33°C. This aligns with observed maxima of 32–34°C on preceding days amid similar convective patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% probability for 32°C and 26% for 33°C incorporates this short-term model agreement while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in monsoon steering and localized rainfall intensity. Updated IMD briefings and observational data through the evening of September 10 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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