**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models point to a mild overnight low near 22–24°C in Chongqing on September 12, creating tight market-implied odds between warmer and cooler outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while high humidity near 60–80% and stable pressure around 1020–1023 hPa support modest overnight temperature drops from daytime highs of 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads in recent model runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 22°C, placing the expected range well within typical variability. Updated model guidance and local observations ahead of the overnight period will likely drive the next shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 12?
27°C or higher 86%
17°C or below 68%
18°C 39%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
68%
18°C
39%
19°C
13%
20°C
23%
21°C
33%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
86%
27°C or higher 86%
17°C or below 68%
18°C 39%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
68%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
33%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models point to a mild overnight low near 22–24°C in Chongqing on September 12, creating tight market-implied odds between warmer and cooler outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while high humidity near 60–80% and stable pressure around 1020–1023 hPa support modest overnight temperature drops from daytime highs of 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads in recent model runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 22°C, placing the expected range well within typical variability. Updated model guidance and local observations ahead of the overnight period will likely drive the next shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models point to a mild overnight low near 22–24°C in Chongqing on September 12, creating tight market-implied odds between warmer and cooler outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while high humidity near 60–80% and stable pressure around 1020–1023 hPa support modest overnight temperature drops from daytime highs of 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads in recent model runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 22°C, placing the expected range well within typical variability. Updated model guidance and local observations ahead of the overnight period will likely drive the next shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological sources and global models point to a mild overnight low near 22–24°C in Chongqing on September 12, creating tight market-implied odds between warmer and cooler outcomes.** Persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds are limiting radiative cooling, while high humidity near 60–80% and stable pressure around 1020–1023 hPa support modest overnight temperature drops from daytime highs of 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads in recent model runs reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 22°C, placing the expected range well within typical variability. Updated model guidance and local observations ahead of the overnight period will likely drive the next shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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