Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model guidance indicate a mostly cloudy day over Paris with light southwesterly winds and building high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit surface heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered around these values. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and only modest diurnal range, with afternoon readings most likely to settle between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the precise degree of cloud thinning and local urban heat effects. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects this forecast uncertainty, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
34%
25°C
39%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
23°C 12%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$423 Vol.
2%
22°C
$277 Vol.
4%
23°C
$1,789 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,179 Vol.
34%
25°C
$2,800 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,665 Vol.
10%
27°C
$549 Vol.
2%
28°C
$214 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model guidance indicate a mostly cloudy day over Paris with light southwesterly winds and building high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit surface heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered around these values. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and only modest diurnal range, with afternoon readings most likely to settle between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the precise degree of cloud thinning and local urban heat effects. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects this forecast uncertainty, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,936End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model guidance indicate a mostly cloudy day over Paris with light southwesterly winds and building high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit surface heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered around these values. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and only modest diurnal range, with afternoon readings most likely to settle between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the precise degree of cloud thinning and local urban heat effects. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects this forecast uncertainty, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,936End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model guidance indicate a mostly cloudy day over Paris with light southwesterly winds and building high pressure, supporting a daytime maximum near 23–25 °C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit surface heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered around these values. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk and only modest diurnal range, with afternoon readings most likely to settle between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the precise degree of cloud thinning and local urban heat effects. The narrow spread between the leading market outcomes reflects this forecast uncertainty, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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