**Forecasts for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, cluster tightly around 25–26°C amid recent cooling and persistent cloud cover.** Multiple models show a high near 24.9–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), with some runs reaching 28–29°C under brief afternoon warming and others capping lower due to thicker cloud decks. This spread directly supports the closely matched market odds, where 25°C leads at 27.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 22.0% and 24°C at 20.5%. Key drivers include the cool, moist airmass following light rain on September 10, light southwesterly winds, high humidity (around 60–70%), and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages for the date sit near 27–29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest suppression from typical conditions. Model consensus on timing of any partial clearing and exact peak values remains the main source of uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
25°C 28%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
23°C or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
23°C or below
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
23°C or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
23°C or below
$1,719 Vol.
15%
24°C
$549 Vol.
21%
25°C
$389 Vol.
28%
26°C
$162 Vol.
22%
27°C
$180 Vol.
9%
28°C
$302 Vol.
5%
29°C
$182 Vol.
4%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, cluster tightly around 25–26°C amid recent cooling and persistent cloud cover.** Multiple models show a high near 24.9–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), with some runs reaching 28–29°C under brief afternoon warming and others capping lower due to thicker cloud decks. This spread directly supports the closely matched market odds, where 25°C leads at 27.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 22.0% and 24°C at 20.5%.
Key drivers include the cool, moist airmass following light rain on September 10, light southwesterly winds, high humidity (around 60–70%), and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages for the date sit near 27–29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest suppression from typical conditions. Model consensus on timing of any partial clearing and exact peak values remains the main source of uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,273End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, cluster tightly around 25–26°C amid recent cooling and persistent cloud cover.** Multiple models show a high near 24.9–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), with some runs reaching 28–29°C under brief afternoon warming and others capping lower due to thicker cloud decks. This spread directly supports the closely matched market odds, where 25°C leads at 27.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 22.0% and 24°C at 20.5%.
Key drivers include the cool, moist airmass following light rain on September 10, light southwesterly winds, high humidity (around 60–70%), and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages for the date sit near 27–29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest suppression from typical conditions. Model consensus on timing of any partial clearing and exact peak values remains the main source of uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,273End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Chongqing on September 11, 2026, cluster tightly around 25–26°C amid recent cooling and persistent cloud cover.** Multiple models show a high near 24.9–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), with some runs reaching 28–29°C under brief afternoon warming and others capping lower due to thicker cloud decks. This spread directly supports the closely matched market odds, where 25°C leads at 27.5% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 22.0% and 24°C at 20.5%. Key drivers include the cool, moist airmass following light rain on September 10, light southwesterly winds, high humidity (around 60–70%), and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Historical September averages for the date sit near 27–29°C, so the current setup reflects a modest suppression from typical conditions. Model consensus on timing of any partial clearing and exact peak values remains the main source of uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions