**Monsoon moisture and cloud cover dominate expectations for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature.** Persistent thundershowers and high humidity—typical of the retreating southwest monsoon—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C according to multiple model runs from IMD-aligned sources. This creates balanced trader sentiment between sub-21°C outcomes (favored if clearer skies allow stronger cooling) and 31°C+ readings (if daytime heat lingers into evening). Recent forecasts show only modest day-to-day shifts, with east winds and 60–80% rain chances keeping conditions stable but uncertain. Key variables include exact rain timing and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 12th, as even small changes in cloud persistence can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
21°C or below 96%
31°C or higher 96%
27°C 48%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
96%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
26%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
96%
21°C or below 96%
31°C or higher 96%
27°C 48%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$15 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon moisture and cloud cover dominate expectations for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature.** Persistent thundershowers and high humidity—typical of the retreating southwest monsoon—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C according to multiple model runs from IMD-aligned sources. This creates balanced trader sentiment between sub-21°C outcomes (favored if clearer skies allow stronger cooling) and 31°C+ readings (if daytime heat lingers into evening). Recent forecasts show only modest day-to-day shifts, with east winds and 60–80% rain chances keeping conditions stable but uncertain. Key variables include exact rain timing and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 12th, as even small changes in cloud persistence can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon moisture and cloud cover dominate expectations for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature.** Persistent thundershowers and high humidity—typical of the retreating southwest monsoon—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C according to multiple model runs from IMD-aligned sources. This creates balanced trader sentiment between sub-21°C outcomes (favored if clearer skies allow stronger cooling) and 31°C+ readings (if daytime heat lingers into evening). Recent forecasts show only modest day-to-day shifts, with east winds and 60–80% rain chances keeping conditions stable but uncertain. Key variables include exact rain timing and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 12th, as even small changes in cloud persistence can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon moisture and cloud cover dominate expectations for Lucknow's September 12 minimum temperature.** Persistent thundershowers and high humidity—typical of the retreating southwest monsoon—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 26–27°C according to multiple model runs from IMD-aligned sources. This creates balanced trader sentiment between sub-21°C outcomes (favored if clearer skies allow stronger cooling) and 31°C+ readings (if daytime heat lingers into evening). Recent forecasts show only modest day-to-day shifts, with east winds and 60–80% rain chances keeping conditions stable but uncertain. Key variables include exact rain timing and any late-model adjustments ahead of the 12th, as even small changes in cloud persistence can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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