Recent forecasts for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature near 25–27°C on September 13 amid active monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity and potential rainfall episodes create the main uncertainty, as clearer skies could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward the low-20s while persistent cloud and moisture would keep overnight lows elevated. Model consensus remains moderate rather than extreme, consistent with historical September averages of roughly 24–26°C, yet the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C-plus outcomes reflects traders pricing in the range of possible steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
21°C or below 95%
31°C or higher 94%
27°C 44%
22°C 39%
21°C or below
95%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
94%
21°C or below 95%
31°C or higher 94%
27°C 44%
22°C 39%
21°C or below
95%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature near 25–27°C on September 13 amid active monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling. High humidity and potential rainfall episodes create the main uncertainty, as clearer skies could allow greater heat loss and push readings toward the low-20s while persistent cloud and moisture would keep overnight lows elevated. Model consensus remains moderate rather than extreme, consistent with historical September averages of roughly 24–26°C, yet the near-even market split between sub-22°C and 31°C-plus outcomes reflects traders pricing in the range of possible steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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