**Forecast models indicate the overnight minimum for Paris on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow.** Multiple runs from sources such as GFS show daytime highs reaching 24–26°C before temperatures fall to roughly 13–15°C overnight, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 13°C (41.5 %) and 12°C (27 %). These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling in the current pattern. With resolution just two days away and no major model shifts expected before the 19th, trader consensus aligns closely with the latest official guidance favoring a narrow 12–14°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 19?
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
15°C 26%
10°C or below 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
23%
11°C
13%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
22%
15°C
26%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
15°C 26%
10°C or below 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$167 Vol.
40%
14°C
$49 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate the overnight minimum for Paris on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow.**
Multiple runs from sources such as GFS show daytime highs reaching 24–26°C before temperatures fall to roughly 13–15°C overnight, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 13°C (41.5 %) and 12°C (27 %). These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling in the current pattern. With resolution just two days away and no major model shifts expected before the 19th, trader consensus aligns closely with the latest official guidance favoring a narrow 12–14°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate the overnight minimum for Paris on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow.**
Multiple runs from sources such as GFS show daytime highs reaching 24–26°C before temperatures fall to roughly 13–15°C overnight, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 13°C (41.5 %) and 12°C (27 %). These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling in the current pattern. With resolution just two days away and no major model shifts expected before the 19th, trader consensus aligns closely with the latest official guidance favoring a narrow 12–14°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$216End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate the overnight minimum for Paris on September 19 will likely settle near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow.** Multiple runs from sources such as GFS show daytime highs reaching 24–26°C before temperatures fall to roughly 13–15°C overnight, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading on 13°C (41.5 %) and 12°C (27 %). These values sit slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.2°C, reflecting the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling in the current pattern. With resolution just two days away and no major model shifts expected before the 19th, trader consensus aligns closely with the latest official guidance favoring a narrow 12–14°C range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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