Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 10 likely near 18–20°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast amid stable high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup limits daytime heating while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling, though coastal moderation and variable wind speeds create small spreads in projected lows. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–23°C outcomes because ensemble runs show sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in onshore flow or thicker clouds potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C and clearer conditions allowing it to dip lower. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
23°C or higher 65%
21°C 37%
16°C 32%
20°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
24%
14°C
21%
15°C
25%
16°C
32%
17°C
28%
18°C
17%
19°C
8%
20°C
31%
21°C
37%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
65%
23°C or higher 65%
21°C 37%
16°C 32%
20°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$10 Vol.
8%
20°C
$25 Vol.
31%
21°C
$25 Vol.
37%
22°C
$25 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$51 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 10 likely near 18–20°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast amid stable high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup limits daytime heating while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling, though coastal moderation and variable wind speeds create small spreads in projected lows. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–23°C outcomes because ensemble runs show sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in onshore flow or thicker clouds potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C and clearer conditions allowing it to dip lower. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$136End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 10 likely near 18–20°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast amid stable high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup limits daytime heating while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling, though coastal moderation and variable wind speeds create small spreads in projected lows. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–23°C outcomes because ensemble runs show sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in onshore flow or thicker clouds potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C and clearer conditions allowing it to dip lower. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 10 likely near 18–20°C, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cooler continental air over the Yellow Sea coast amid stable high pressure and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This setup limits daytime heating while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling, though coastal moderation and variable wind speeds create small spreads in projected lows. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–23°C outcomes because ensemble runs show sensitivity to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with any increase in onshore flow or thicker clouds potentially raising the minimum by 1–2°C and clearer conditions allowing it to dip lower. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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