Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 июня?
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 4.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
28%
22°C
54%
23°C
8%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
22°C 40%
21°C 36.6%
23°C 8%
20°C 4.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$522 Объем
<1%
18°C
$42 Объем
<1%
19°C
$605 Объем
1%
20°C
$577 Объем
5%
21°C
$310 Объем
28%
22°C
$119 Объем
54%
23°C
$1,054 Объем
8%
24°C
$2,703 Объем
1%
25°C
$570 Объем
1%
26°C
$700 Объем
<1%
27°C или выше
$761 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Объем
$7,928Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,928Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will likely fall in the 21–22°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (54%) and 21°C (28%). June's plum rain (meiyu) season typically delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and moderated temperatures, with climatological minimums averaging near 21–24°C and rarely deviating sharply in mid-month. Current model consensus shows no strong heat wave or cold surge, keeping extremes below 20°C or above 23°C at low probabilities. Updated NMC or CMA guidance and any last-minute model shifts before midnight local time on June 14 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы