The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Republican nominee Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remains tightly contested heading into the November general election, with recent polling averages showing El-Sayed ahead by roughly 1-3 points statewide. Grand Traverse County’s outcome hinges on similar dynamics, including voter turnout in this northern Michigan swing area, where local economic concerns, healthcare policy differences, and candidate attacks have intensified. Rogers has focused messaging on national security and accused El-Sayed of extremist associations, while El-Sayed has highlighted affordability and labeled Rogers a corporate insider. A recent debate scheduling dispute and ongoing primary aftermath divisions among Democrats add uncertainty, keeping trader consensus on the county winner closely balanced without a decisive local polling edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$10 Vol.
67%
Mike Rogers (R)
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Republican nominee Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remains tightly contested heading into the November general election, with recent polling averages showing El-Sayed ahead by roughly 1-3 points statewide. Grand Traverse County’s outcome hinges on similar dynamics, including voter turnout in this northern Michigan swing area, where local economic concerns, healthcare policy differences, and candidate attacks have intensified. Rogers has focused messaging on national security and accused El-Sayed of extremist associations, while El-Sayed has highlighted affordability and labeled Rogers a corporate insider. A recent debate scheduling dispute and ongoing primary aftermath divisions among Democrats add uncertainty, keeping trader consensus on the county winner closely balanced without a decisive local polling edge.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$10End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Republican nominee Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remains tightly contested heading into the November general election, with recent polling averages showing El-Sayed ahead by roughly 1-3 points statewide. Grand Traverse County’s outcome hinges on similar dynamics, including voter turnout in this northern Michigan swing area, where local economic concerns, healthcare policy differences, and candidate attacks have intensified. Rogers has focused messaging on national security and accused El-Sayed of extremist associations, while El-Sayed has highlighted affordability and labeled Rogers a corporate insider. A recent debate scheduling dispute and ongoing primary aftermath divisions among Democrats add uncertainty, keeping trader consensus on the county winner closely balanced without a decisive local polling edge.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Volume
$10End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Republican nominee Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed remains tightly contested heading into the November general election, with recent polling averages showing El-Sayed ahead by roughly 1-3 points statewide. Grand Traverse County’s outcome hinges on similar dynamics, including voter turnout in this northern Michigan swing area, where local economic concerns, healthcare policy differences, and candidate attacks have intensified. Rogers has focused messaging on national security and accused El-Sayed of extremist associations, while El-Sayed has highlighted affordability and labeled Rogers a corporate insider. A recent debate scheduling dispute and ongoing primary aftermath divisions among Democrats add uncertainty, keeping trader consensus on the county winner closely balanced without a decisive local polling edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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