Recent Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly forced temporary suspensions of operations at all four major Moscow airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky, for safety during air defense intercepts. In June 2026, multiple large-scale strikes—some involving over 300 drones—led to multi-hour closures, flight cancellations, and delays exceeding 500 operations, with Russian authorities reporting interceptions near the capital. Additional restrictions on transit flights and altitude limits in the Moscow region followed in July amid sustained threats. These security-driven measures reflect the direct link between escalated drone activity in the ongoing conflict and airspace disruptions, shaping trader focus on military developments as the dominant catalyst over other potential factors like weather.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
75%
September 15
79%
September 30
89%
$315 Vol.
August 31
$294 Vol.
75%
September 15
$18 Vol.
79%
September 30
$4 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly forced temporary suspensions of operations at all four major Moscow airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky, for safety during air defense intercepts. In June 2026, multiple large-scale strikes—some involving over 300 drones—led to multi-hour closures, flight cancellations, and delays exceeding 500 operations, with Russian authorities reporting interceptions near the capital. Additional restrictions on transit flights and altitude limits in the Moscow region followed in July amid sustained threats. These security-driven measures reflect the direct link between escalated drone activity in the ongoing conflict and airspace disruptions, shaping trader focus on military developments as the dominant catalyst over other potential factors like weather.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$315End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly forced temporary suspensions of operations at all four major Moscow airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky, for safety during air defense intercepts. In June 2026, multiple large-scale strikes—some involving over 300 drones—led to multi-hour closures, flight cancellations, and delays exceeding 500 operations, with Russian authorities reporting interceptions near the capital. Additional restrictions on transit flights and altitude limits in the Moscow region followed in July amid sustained threats. These security-driven measures reflect the direct link between escalated drone activity in the ongoing conflict and airspace disruptions, shaping trader focus on military developments as the dominant catalyst over other potential factors like weather.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$315End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly forced temporary suspensions of operations at all four major Moscow airports, including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky, for safety during air defense intercepts. In June 2026, multiple large-scale strikes—some involving over 300 drones—led to multi-hour closures, flight cancellations, and delays exceeding 500 operations, with Russian authorities reporting interceptions near the capital. Additional restrictions on transit flights and altitude limits in the Moscow region followed in July amid sustained threats. These security-driven measures reflect the direct link between escalated drone activity in the ongoing conflict and airspace disruptions, shaping trader focus on military developments as the dominant catalyst over other potential factors like weather.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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