Persistent oversupply from elevated U.S. laying flocks after post-avian influenza rebuilding continues to anchor trader sentiment for the August BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, with market-implied odds heavily concentrated in the $2.10–$2.30 range. July data printed at $2.19 per dozen, down sharply year-over-year, while wholesale benchmarks remain depressed near 36–42 cents amid production exceeding demand absorption. Recent American Egg Board assessments note flock sizes of 340–345 million and monthly output near 20.2 million cases, with supply expected to stay elevated through year-end even as retail demand holds steady. This dynamic, rather than acute disease or feed-cost shocks, underpins the current pricing consensus ahead of the scheduled September data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.20–$2.30 100.0%
<$1.80 <1%
$1.80–$1.90 <1%
$1.90–$2.00 <1%
$50,074 Vol.
$50,074 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
<$1.80
No
$1.80–$1.90
No
$1.90–$2.00
No
$2.00–$2.10
No
$2.10–$2.20
No
$2.20–$2.30
Yes
$2.30–$2.40
No
$2.40–$2.50
No
$2.50–$2.60
No
≥$2.60
No
$2.20–$2.30 100.0%
<$1.80 <1%
$1.80–$1.90 <1%
$1.90–$2.00 <1%
$50,074 Vol.
$50,074 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
<$1.80
$666 Vol.
No
$1.80–$1.90
$516 Vol.
No
$1.90–$2.00
$1,439 Vol.
No
$2.00–$2.10
$6,519 Vol.
No
$2.10–$2.20
$17,106 Vol.
No
$2.20–$2.30
$11,014 Vol.
Yes
$2.30–$2.40
$7,799 Vol.
No
$2.40–$2.50
$1,190 Vol.
No
$2.50–$2.60
$1,612 Vol.
No
≥$2.60
$2,213 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Persistent oversupply from elevated U.S. laying flocks after post-avian influenza rebuilding continues to anchor trader sentiment for the August BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, with market-implied odds heavily concentrated in the $2.10–$2.30 range. July data printed at $2.19 per dozen, down sharply year-over-year, while wholesale benchmarks remain depressed near 36–42 cents amid production exceeding demand absorption. Recent American Egg Board assessments note flock sizes of 340–345 million and monthly output near 20.2 million cases, with supply expected to stay elevated through year-end even as retail demand holds steady. This dynamic, rather than acute disease or feed-cost shocks, underpins the current pricing consensus ahead of the scheduled September data release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$50,074End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Persistent oversupply from elevated U.S. laying flocks after post-avian influenza rebuilding continues to anchor trader sentiment for the August BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, with market-implied odds heavily concentrated in the $2.10–$2.30 range. July data printed at $2.19 per dozen, down sharply year-over-year, while wholesale benchmarks remain depressed near 36–42 cents amid production exceeding demand absorption. Recent American Egg Board assessments note flock sizes of 340–345 million and monthly output near 20.2 million cases, with supply expected to stay elevated through year-end even as retail demand holds steady. This dynamic, rather than acute disease or feed-cost shocks, underpins the current pricing consensus ahead of the scheduled September data release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$50,074End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent oversupply from elevated U.S. laying flocks after post-avian influenza rebuilding continues to anchor trader sentiment for the August BLS average retail price of Grade A large eggs, with market-implied odds heavily concentrated in the $2.10–$2.30 range. July data printed at $2.19 per dozen, down sharply year-over-year, while wholesale benchmarks remain depressed near 36–42 cents amid production exceeding demand absorption. Recent American Egg Board assessments note flock sizes of 340–345 million and monthly output near 20.2 million cases, with supply expected to stay elevated through year-end even as retail demand holds steady. This dynamic, rather than acute disease or feed-cost shocks, underpins the current pricing consensus ahead of the scheduled September data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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