Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein-related documents released in early 2026, but no charges have been filed by the Crown Prosecution Service since his February arrest and release. Trader consensus at 98% for no prison sentence reflects the extended timeline without prosecution, the high evidentiary bar and infrequent use of this offense in comparable cases, and structural factors such as royal status and historical patterns of limited accountability in similar matters. A July 2026 appearance as a witness in an unrelated threat trial further signals ongoing but non-escalatory legal exposure. Realistic shifts could still occur if fresh evidence prompts charges, a trial proceeds to conviction, or previously sealed materials surface within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
2% chance
$221,715 Vol.
$221,715 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein-related documents released in early 2026, but no charges have been filed by the Crown Prosecution Service since his February arrest and release. Trader consensus at 98% for no prison sentence reflects the extended timeline without prosecution, the high evidentiary bar and infrequent use of this offense in comparable cases, and structural factors such as royal status and historical patterns of limited accountability in similar matters. A July 2026 appearance as a witness in an unrelated threat trial further signals ongoing but non-escalatory legal exposure. Realistic shifts could still occur if fresh evidence prompts charges, a trial proceeds to conviction, or previously sealed materials surface within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein-related documents released in early 2026, but no charges have been filed by the Crown Prosecution Service since his February arrest and release. Trader consensus at 98% for no prison sentence reflects the extended timeline without prosecution, the high evidentiary bar and infrequent use of this offense in comparable cases, and structural factors such as royal status and historical patterns of limited accountability in similar matters. A July 2026 appearance as a witness in an unrelated threat trial further signals ongoing but non-escalatory legal exposure. Realistic shifts could still occur if fresh evidence prompts charges, a trial proceeds to conviction, or previously sealed materials surface within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$221,715End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, formerly Prince Andrew, remains under UK police investigation for misconduct in public office tied to Epstein-related documents released in early 2026, but no charges have been filed by the Crown Prosecution Service since his February arrest and release. Trader consensus at 98% for no prison sentence reflects the extended timeline without prosecution, the high evidentiary bar and infrequent use of this offense in comparable cases, and structural factors such as royal status and historical patterns of limited accountability in similar matters. A July 2026 appearance as a witness in an unrelated threat trial further signals ongoing but non-escalatory legal exposure. Realistic shifts could still occur if fresh evidence prompts charges, a trial proceeds to conviction, or previously sealed materials surface within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions