Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus captured in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would indicate a shift in the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$38,275 Vol.
$38,275 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$38,275 Vol.
$38,275 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,321 Vol.
90%
Democratic Party
$18,954 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus captured in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would indicate a shift in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,275End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus captured in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would indicate a shift in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,275End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has supported Republican presidential candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Justin Early in the November general election. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's established voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus captured in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that would indicate a shift in the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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