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icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Sep 15

Sep 15

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 59%

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams 16%

Crew Girl: Season 1 6%

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1 59%

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams 16%

Crew Girl: Season 1 6%

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Gentlemen: Season 2

The Gentlemen: Season 2

$95 Vol.

2%

icon for Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1

$263 Vol.

49%

icon for Crew Girl: Season 1

Crew Girl: Season 1

$661 Vol.

6%

icon for Beauty in Black: Season 3

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$78 Vol.

2%

icon for Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

Instadocs: The Decoy Plane

$65 Vol.

3%

icon for NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams

NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams

$91 Vol.

16%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Death of the Pastor's Wife holds the top US Netflix ranking with strong sustained viewership weeks after its late-August premiere, driving its 54.5% market-implied odds as the frontrunner for this week's top show. The true-crime docuseries benefits from broad audience engagement with its Mica Miller story and consistent chart leadership amid a competitive slate. Several titles clustered near 50% reflect tight dynamics, including returning hits like The Gentlemen and Beauty in Black plus fresh arrivals such as Crew Girl. The live NFL Melbourne game sits at 15% as a short-term wildcard, while lower-odds options like Instadocs face steeper barriers in the weekly viewership window.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,252
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Death of the Pastor's Wife holds the top US Netflix ranking with strong sustained viewership weeks after its late-August premiere, driving its 54.5% market-implied odds as the frontrunner for this week's top show. The true-crime docuseries benefits from broad audience engagement with its Mica Miller story and consistent chart leadership amid a competitive slate. Several titles clustered near 50% reflect tight dynamics, including returning hits like The Gentlemen and Beauty in Black plus fresh arrivals such as Crew Girl. The live NFL Melbourne game sits at 15% as a short-term wildcard, while lower-odds options like Instadocs face steeper barriers in the weekly viewership window.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,252
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

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Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

40%
icon for Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

96%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 8 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 8 million views this week?

94%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 49%, followed by "NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.