Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI to claim the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its mature large language model business and steady cash flow from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage. This positioning aligns with OpenAI’s established scale relative to smaller rivals such as Anthropic, xAI, and DeepSeek, whose commercial footprints remain narrower despite ongoing model releases. Recent updates to GPT-series capabilities have helped maintain user engagement and developer adoption, reinforcing the gap. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-week revenue surge from one of the lower-probability contenders through a major new partnership or undisclosed enterprise deal, though verified reporting shows no signs of such momentum yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedxAI <1%
$37,048 Vol.
$37,048 Vol.
May 17, 2026
xAI
<1%
xAI <1%
$37,048 Vol.
$37,048 Vol.
May 17, 2026
xAI
$4,480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI to claim the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its mature large language model business and steady cash flow from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage. This positioning aligns with OpenAI’s established scale relative to smaller rivals such as Anthropic, xAI, and DeepSeek, whose commercial footprints remain narrower despite ongoing model releases. Recent updates to GPT-series capabilities have helped maintain user engagement and developer adoption, reinforcing the gap. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-week revenue surge from one of the lower-probability contenders through a major new partnership or undisclosed enterprise deal, though verified reporting shows no signs of such momentum yet.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$37,048End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI to claim the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its mature large language model business and steady cash flow from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage. This positioning aligns with OpenAI’s established scale relative to smaller rivals such as Anthropic, xAI, and DeepSeek, whose commercial footprints remain narrower despite ongoing model releases. Recent updates to GPT-series capabilities have helped maintain user engagement and developer adoption, reinforcing the gap. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-week revenue surge from one of the lower-probability contenders through a major new partnership or undisclosed enterprise deal, though verified reporting shows no signs of such momentum yet.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Volume
$37,048End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have overwhelmingly backed OpenAI to claim the second-highest revenue among AI companies for the week of May 11-17, driven by its mature large language model business and steady cash flow from ChatGPT subscriptions plus enterprise API usage. This positioning aligns with OpenAI’s established scale relative to smaller rivals such as Anthropic, xAI, and DeepSeek, whose commercial footprints remain narrower despite ongoing model releases. Recent updates to GPT-series capabilities have helped maintain user engagement and developer adoption, reinforcing the gap. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-week revenue surge from one of the lower-probability contenders through a major new partnership or undisclosed enterprise deal, though verified reporting shows no signs of such momentum yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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