**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Jul 12, 2026
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Jul 12, 2026
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic's recent redeployment of Claude Fable 5 on July 1 after U.S. export controls lifted has created a tight 50% market on further paid-plan inclusion extensions by July 12.** The model, Anthropic's most capable generally available large language model with strong performance in coding and knowledge work, was initially bundled through June 22, then shifted to usage credits before the July 1 restoration limited it to 50% of weekly plan allowances through July 7. High user demand, capacity constraints, and prior staged rollouts have kept sentiment balanced, with traders watching for any official announcement on sustained subsidized access versus full credit-based pricing at $10/$50 per million tokens. Capacity gains or a new blog update in the next few days could quickly shift the closely contested odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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