**No rain fell in Central Park on June 9, 2026, producing the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability on the “No” outcome.** Official National Weather Service climate summaries for the Central Park station recorded exactly 0.00 inches of precipitation that day, with hourly observations showing clear to sunny skies, calm winds, and temperatures reaching record highs for the date under a dry air mass. Regional surface analyses and model guidance in the preceding days depicted a strong high-pressure ridge suppressing moisture and convective activity across the Northeast, consistent with the sharp drop in precipitation probability typical for early June when frontal systems remain well to the north or west. Trader consensus aligned rapidly with these verified observations once preliminary reports confirmed the dry conditions. The only realistic scenarios that could still alter resolution would involve an extremely narrow definition of “rain” that counts trace amounts below the station’s measurable threshold or a post-event quality-control revision—both highly improbable given the consistent zero reading across multiple reporting cycles.