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Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties

icon for World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties
Sports·World Cup

World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties

NEW
Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket

$3,441 Vol.

Polymarket

5+ missed penalties

$4 Vol.

81%

10+ missed penalties

$211 Vol.

58%

15+ missed penalties

$0 Vol.

50%

20+ missed penalties

$0 Vol.

29%

25+ missed penalties

$0 Vol.

24%

30+ missed penalties

$634 Vol.

15%

35+ missed penalties

$634 Vol.

12%

40+ missed penalties

$689 Vol.

1%

45+ missed penalties

$634 Vol.

10%

50+ missed penalties

$634 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 104 matches across North America, increases the total opportunities for penalty kicks in open play and extra-time situations compared with prior editions. Historical open-play conversion rates hover near 79 percent since 1978, while shootout success typically falls to 65-75 percent on later kicks amid heightened pressure. Recent tournaments show variability, with five shootouts in 2022 marking a record and VAR reviews continuing to influence spot-kick awards through clearer foul detection. Elite squads enter with designated takers in strong recent form, though goalkeeping preparation and fatigue from the longer schedule could elevate miss rates in knockout stages. Group-stage draws remain resolved without shootouts under current rules, limiting early volume.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,441
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 11:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup format, featuring 104 matches across North America, increases the total opportunities for penalty kicks in open play and extra-time situations compared with prior editions. Historical open-play conversion rates hover near 79 percent since 1978, while shootout success typically falls to 65-75 percent on later kicks amid heightened pressure. Recent tournaments show variability, with five shootouts in 2022 marking a record and VAR reviews continuing to influence spot-kick awards through clearer foul detection. Elite squads enter with designated takers in strong recent form, though goalkeeping preparation and fatigue from the longer schedule could elevate miss rates in knockout stages. Group-stage draws remain resolved without shootouts under current rules, limiting early volume.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,441
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 11:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of penalty kicks that are missed or saved during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5+ missed penalties" at 81%, followed by "10+ missed penalties" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties" is "5+ missed penalties" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10+ missed penalties" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Number of Missed Penalties" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.