Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan have maintained their public partnership without any verified indications of separation, with Peng continuing to fulfill official duties as first lady at events including the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and state visits. Chinese leadership norms prioritize a stable family image under strict information controls, making any public divorce announcement highly disruptive to regime stability and inconsistent with historical patterns among top officials. Trader consensus at 98.8% on “No” reflects this structural reality and the absence of credible catalysts through late 2026. While late-breaking health developments or internal political shifts could theoretically create unforeseen pressure, no such factors have emerged to alter the market’s assessment.