Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour54-57% 68%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
22%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
68%
57-60%
18%
60%+
17%
54-57% 68%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
22%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
21%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
68%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
18%
60%+
$489 Vol.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and voter models for Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest show a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda but without any candidate approaching 50 percent support, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This dynamic, combined with Colombia's registered electorate of roughly 41.5 million, supports moderate participation levels consistent with the 55 percent turnout recorded in 2022 and the long-term first-round average near 54-57 percent. Stable campaign logistics, absence of major disruptions, and steady but not heightened mobilization across polarized bases have kept recent forecasts aligned with that band, with traders viewing these factors as the primary drivers of current consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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