Recent polling and electoral modeling project first-round participation near 55 percent among Colombia’s 41.5 million registered voters, reflecting typical presidential turnout patterns that exceed the low-50s abstention recorded in the March legislative elections. The three-way contest between leading candidate Iván Cepeda and his conservative rivals has sustained moderate voter interest without generating widespread mobilization campaigns or last-minute surges in the past two weeks. Historical first-round figures for similar cycles, combined with current approval dynamics around the outgoing administration, reinforce expectations that participation will settle in the mid-50s rather than climb above 60 percent or fall below 51 percent. Trader positioning therefore concentrates on the 54-57 percent band as the narrowest and most probable interval ahead of the May 31 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour54-57% 52%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
20%
51-54%
21%
54-57%
52%
57-60%
13%
60%+
17%
54-57% 52%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
20%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
21%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
52%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$489 Vol.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and electoral modeling project first-round participation near 55 percent among Colombia’s 41.5 million registered voters, reflecting typical presidential turnout patterns that exceed the low-50s abstention recorded in the March legislative elections. The three-way contest between leading candidate Iván Cepeda and his conservative rivals has sustained moderate voter interest without generating widespread mobilization campaigns or last-minute surges in the past two weeks. Historical first-round figures for similar cycles, combined with current approval dynamics around the outgoing administration, reinforce expectations that participation will settle in the mid-50s rather than climb above 60 percent or fall below 51 percent. Trader positioning therefore concentrates on the 54-57 percent band as the narrowest and most probable interval ahead of the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling and electoral modeling project first-round participation near 55 percent among Colombia’s 41.5 million registered voters, reflecting typical presidential turnout patterns that exceed the low-50s abstention recorded in the March legislative elections. The three-way contest between leading candidate Iván Cepeda and his conservative rivals has sustained moderate voter interest without generating widespread mobilization campaigns or last-minute surges in the past two weeks. Historical first-round figures for similar cycles, combined with current approval dynamics around the outgoing administration, reinforce expectations that participation will settle in the mid-50s rather than climb above 60 percent or fall below 51 percent. Trader positioning therefore concentrates on the 54-57 percent band as the narrowest and most probable interval ahead of the May 31 vote.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and electoral modeling project first-round participation near 55 percent among Colombia’s 41.5 million registered voters, reflecting typical presidential turnout patterns that exceed the low-50s abstention recorded in the March legislative elections. The three-way contest between leading candidate Iván Cepeda and his conservative rivals has sustained moderate voter interest without generating widespread mobilization campaigns or last-minute surges in the past two weeks. Historical first-round figures for similar cycles, combined with current approval dynamics around the outgoing administration, reinforce expectations that participation will settle in the mid-50s rather than climb above 60 percent or fall below 51 percent. Trader positioning therefore concentrates on the 54-57 percent band as the narrowest and most probable interval ahead of the May 31 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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