Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its voter demographics and historical results, including incumbent Hank Johnson's 75.6% victory in 2024. With the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary featuring the long-serving representative alongside limited challengers and a Republican primary limited to one candidate, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general election win on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal and entrenched partisan patterns. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could introduce modest uncertainty, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
GA-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$27,830 Vol.
$27,830 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
5%
$27,830 Vol.
$27,830 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$17,074 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$10,757 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its voter demographics and historical results, including incumbent Hank Johnson's 75.6% victory in 2024. With the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary featuring the long-serving representative alongside limited challengers and a Republican primary limited to one candidate, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general election win on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal and entrenched partisan patterns. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could introduce modest uncertainty, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$27,830Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its voter demographics and historical results, including incumbent Hank Johnson's 75.6% victory in 2024. With the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary featuring the long-serving representative alongside limited challengers and a Republican primary limited to one candidate, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general election win on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal and entrenched partisan patterns. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could introduce modest uncertainty, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,830Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its voter demographics and historical results, including incumbent Hank Johnson's 75.6% victory in 2024. With the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary featuring the long-serving representative alongside limited challengers and a Republican primary limited to one candidate, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general election win on November 3. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited crossover appeal and entrenched partisan patterns. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a weaker nominee or unforeseen candidate withdrawals could introduce modest uncertainty, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in comparable districts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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