Latest National Weather Service forecasts and private models like those from AccuWeather project Chicago's high temperature on May 16 reaching the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering warm southerly winds and subsidence that inhibits cloud formation. This aligns with climatological normals of 71°F for mid-May at O'Hare International Airport, where measurements resolve similar markets, and recent days' above-normal warmth amid low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher reflects this model agreement, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an unexpected lake breeze surge or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks near 60°F, though current guidance shows minimal support; overnight forecast refinements from NOAA could adjust marginally.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NOUVEAU
$23,334 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,334 Vol.
16 mai 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.8%
54-55°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
NOUVEAU
$23,334 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$23,334 Vol.
16 mai 2026
37°F or below
$8,154 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$1,896 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$726 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,177 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$3,645 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and private models like those from AccuWeather project Chicago's high temperature on May 16 reaching the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering warm southerly winds and subsidence that inhibits cloud formation. This aligns with climatological normals of 71°F for mid-May at O'Hare International Airport, where measurements resolve similar markets, and recent days' above-normal warmth amid low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher reflects this model agreement, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an unexpected lake breeze surge or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks near 60°F, though current guidance shows minimal support; overnight forecast refinements from NOAA could adjust marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,334Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and private models like those from AccuWeather project Chicago's high temperature on May 16 reaching the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering warm southerly winds and subsidence that inhibits cloud formation. This aligns with climatological normals of 71°F for mid-May at O'Hare International Airport, where measurements resolve similar markets, and recent days' above-normal warmth amid low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher reflects this model agreement, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an unexpected lake breeze surge or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks near 60°F, though current guidance shows minimal support; overnight forecast refinements from NOAA could adjust marginally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,334Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and private models like those from AccuWeather project Chicago's high temperature on May 16 reaching the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering warm southerly winds and subsidence that inhibits cloud formation. This aligns with climatological normals of 71°F for mid-May at O'Hare International Airport, where measurements resolve similar markets, and recent days' above-normal warmth amid low precipitation risk. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 56°F or higher reflects this model agreement, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an unexpected lake breeze surge or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks near 60°F, though current guidance shows minimal support; overnight forecast refinements from NOAA could adjust marginally.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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