**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory's official absolute daily maximum of 30°C for August 14, 2026, rests on verified surface observations under light southerly monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions that limited daytime heating.** Hong Kong Observatory data, the authoritative resolution source, recorded this peak temperature consistent with regional model guidance and climatological norms for mid-August, when urban heat-island effects and typical humidity typically cap highs near 30–32°C absent stronger subtropical ridge influence or typhoon-related warming. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty once preliminary readings aligned with forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-analysis adjustments from station calibration or micro-climate discrepancies, though such revisions are rare once the daily maximum is logged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,224 Vol.
$237,224 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,224 Vol.
$237,224 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,516 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47,623 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52,808 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$48,586 Vol.
100%
31°C
$32,501 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$19,039 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,126 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,686 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory's official absolute daily maximum of 30°C for August 14, 2026, rests on verified surface observations under light southerly monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions that limited daytime heating.**
Hong Kong Observatory data, the authoritative resolution source, recorded this peak temperature consistent with regional model guidance and climatological norms for mid-August, when urban heat-island effects and typical humidity typically cap highs near 30–32°C absent stronger subtropical ridge influence or typhoon-related warming. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty once preliminary readings aligned with forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision.
Realistic challenges remain limited to post-analysis adjustments from station calibration or micro-climate discrepancies, though such revisions are rare once the daily maximum is logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$237,224Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory's official absolute daily maximum of 30°C for August 14, 2026, rests on verified surface observations under light southerly monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions that limited daytime heating.**
Hong Kong Observatory data, the authoritative resolution source, recorded this peak temperature consistent with regional model guidance and climatological norms for mid-August, when urban heat-island effects and typical humidity typically cap highs near 30–32°C absent stronger subtropical ridge influence or typhoon-related warming. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty once preliminary readings aligned with forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision.
Realistic challenges remain limited to post-analysis adjustments from station calibration or micro-climate discrepancies, though such revisions are rare once the daily maximum is logged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$237,224Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Hong Kong Observatory's official absolute daily maximum of 30°C for August 14, 2026, rests on verified surface observations under light southerly monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions that limited daytime heating.** Hong Kong Observatory data, the authoritative resolution source, recorded this peak temperature consistent with regional model guidance and climatological norms for mid-August, when urban heat-island effects and typical humidity typically cap highs near 30–32°C absent stronger subtropical ridge influence or typhoon-related warming. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty once preliminary readings aligned with forecasts, leaving negligible room for revision. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-analysis adjustments from station calibration or micro-climate discrepancies, though such revisions are rare once the daily maximum is logged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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