The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official verification of a 25°C daily maximum on May 16, recorded at its principal urban station under standard Stevenson-screen protocols. Clear subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressed cloud cover and limited convective heating, keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding this value despite typical May humidity levels. Historical May averages hover near 28°C, so the cooler outcome aligns with the prevailing synoptic pattern. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event quality-control revisions or discrepancies between automatic and manual readings, though such adjustments rarely alter the final reported maximum by more than 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
16 mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,787 Vol.
$302,787 Vol.
16 mai 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,348 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official verification of a 25°C daily maximum on May 16, recorded at its principal urban station under standard Stevenson-screen protocols. Clear subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressed cloud cover and limited convective heating, keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding this value despite typical May humidity levels. Historical May averages hover near 28°C, so the cooler outcome aligns with the prevailing synoptic pattern. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event quality-control revisions or discrepancies between automatic and manual readings, though such adjustments rarely alter the final reported maximum by more than 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$302,787Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official verification of a 25°C daily maximum on May 16, recorded at its principal urban station under standard Stevenson-screen protocols. Clear subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressed cloud cover and limited convective heating, keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding this value despite typical May humidity levels. Historical May averages hover near 28°C, so the cooler outcome aligns with the prevailing synoptic pattern. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event quality-control revisions or discrepancies between automatic and manual readings, though such adjustments rarely alter the final reported maximum by more than 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$302,787Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory’s official verification of a 25°C daily maximum on May 16, recorded at its principal urban station under standard Stevenson-screen protocols. Clear subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressed cloud cover and limited convective heating, keeping afternoon temperatures from exceeding this value despite typical May humidity levels. Historical May averages hover near 28°C, so the cooler outcome aligns with the prevailing synoptic pattern. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event quality-control revisions or discrepancies between automatic and manual readings, though such adjustments rarely alter the final reported maximum by more than 1°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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