Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 17 mai ?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$263,433 Vol.
$263,433 Vol.
17 mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$263,433 Vol.
$263,433 Vol.
17 mai 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,087 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$103,472 Vol.
100%
26°C
$52,936 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,331 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,532 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$263,433Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$263,433Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional numerical weather prediction models show strong consensus for a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system and lingering moisture from recent thunderstorms that sustain cloud cover while limiting surface heating under a moist easterly flow. This scientific positioning underpins the market-implied odds heavily favoring 25°C as the resolution outcome, consistent with historical May climatology and current observational data from official monitoring stations. Traders' strong consensus reflects real capital at risk on these verified meteorological factors, though modest uncertainty remains around exact rainfall timing that could allow brief clearing and a potential shift toward 26°C if models revise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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